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Name: Anthony
Callsign: Desertfox / Shotgun
Age: 24 and counting...
Institution: Singapore Poly

Hobbies: Archery, Gaming, Pool,
Hiking around, Surfing Youtube

Hopes: Make it to University

Wishlist: Fulfilled my prev wishlist
except this one; get a good girlfriend.

Monday, October 09, 2006

Special Report : North Korean Crisis.

Yes, the North Koreans have done it. They've successfully detonated their first nuclear weapon, officially entering into the nuclear weapons club. But will the world put up with it? To accept a nuclear North Korea would only result in one thing, the rapid proliferation of nuclear weapons in asia. There are few options that remain now that North Korea has officially declared its possession of nuclear weapons.

There will be little diplomatic options, as North Korea has now percieved itself to hold the ultimate trump card. Sanction and cutting off crucial supplies would take a few months to effect, and may create a greater crisis with North Korean refugees trying to pour into China and South Korea.

Even with a military option, a conventional campaign could easily stretch for months. The same problems faced during the Korean war will still exist today. It would be impausible to bomb North Korea into submission as well. This is a country that has been entrenching itself since the ceasefire. You force this tiger into the corner, it's gonna hit back with everything it's got. This time, it includes nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles.

Though most unfavorable, a conventional ground war, psy-ops would be the most likely option. If China is willing to cooperate in such an effort to exact a regime change, it would most likely to form the northern anvil for a southern hammer. With the US military tied up in the middle east, such a coalition against North Korea would most likely consist of neighbouring states like Japan and S. Korea. With American Generals in command naturally...

And finally, before getting into a half-assed war like Iraq, the UN needs to consider how to stabilise the region and manage what was once, "North Korea." The best plan I can dream of is a divide of the entire North Korea, each governed and managed by the coalition states. (Think E.Germany, W.Germany, except in more parts) Perhaps held until South Korea is able to absorb and take over control, region by region. Again, such a plan would be costly. There will be Hell to pay for.
listening to the rain... 8:47 PM

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